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Winning Fixed Odds Strategies – Making Money With Betonmarkets- Profit From Up, Down Or Sideways Markets

Fixed Odds financial betting offers a range of ways to back different markets, which I see as a financial toolbox, you just need to select the right tool for what the particular market you wish to back is doing.

Fixed Odds betting has some big advantages over financial Spread Betting especially for those starting with smaller accounts. With Spread Betting you’re paid by the number of points you are correct by, with Fixed Odds you can make a large return with the market moving just a few points in your favour. Another massive advantage of Fixed Odds over Spread Bets is that you don’t need to worry about using Stops.

Apart from One Touch bets, with Fixed Odds you are buying time, similar to an option, so your bet could be wrong for days or weeks yet by the time expiration comes you can still end up in the money and win. Many traders have the right view on the market but their timing tends to be out and they are stopped out when using a spread bet, only to see their trade move in their predicted direction. By using a Fixed Odd bet this takes away the worries of day to day price spikes.

 

Here are 8 Top Tips for Fixed Odds Trading

1.  You can make money from Up, Down or Sideways movements

With fixed odds you can make money from markets moving up, moving down or staying in a sideways range, a concept that even professional traders find hard to grasp. Even after big falls in the markets in 2008 most traders are still conditioned to want to buy low and sell high.

Remember that markets fall faster than they rise so down bets can make quick profits. With fixed odds you can back currencies, shares and indices to fall all with limited risk and the most you can lose is your stake which can be as low as £10.

Sideways markets can be backed using Barrier Range bets. Until Betonmarkets.com introduced these it was very complicated to make money from range bound markets and you would have had to use options strategies such as selling options. Now you can do it with a simple bet and with strictly limited risk.

You would be surprised how often a currency, share or index actually stays in a range – until recently you could not profit from ranges.

 

2.  Learn to love volatility

With fixed odds, bookmakers such as betonmarkets.com you can place an UP/Down bet which basically means “I don’t know what the market is going to do but I think it’s going to move.”

As long as the market moves Up or Down and breaks above or below your predicted barrier you will be paid out. This bet is ideal after a market has been going sideways in a narrow range for awhile as the odds of a breakout becomes more probable. Those that follow charts can look for contracting triangle formations. As the price squeezes you know at some stage it will breakout normally with a big move. With Up/Down bets you don’t have to predict the direction of the breakout as long as it does breakout within your predetermined time.

Tip: Buy a bit of extra time. We all want our bets to payout as quickly as possible for the highest payout but I suggest taking a slightly lower payout and buying a few extra days of time. So let’s say your offer is 40% for the NASDAQ touching 1550 in 14 days, try going for 18 days, the extra few days have saved me on many of my trades.

 

3.  Use One Touch bets

Markets tend to be like lightening, they look for the path of least resistance.  When a market breaks above a resistance (ceiling) level you will tend to find the market will carry on in the same direction for at least a few more days. Just as a market breaks down through a Support (floor) the market carries on falling until its next support.

Using a One Touch bet traders can back these events, remember you’re saying the market just needs to touch the given level and that would be enough to payout.

So let’s use a recent Gold example. Gold started to build up momentum and broke over the $830 an oz level, looking at the chart I could see $850 was the next potential target, so I placed a ONE TOUCH bet that Gold would touch $850 within the next 14 days. Gold went on to hit $870 within a few days, so the bet paid out. Of course, if Gold did not touch $850 during the 14 days then my bet would have expired worthless.

If I do see the bet going against me and time is running out I can sell the bet back and look to salvage some of the stake.

A quick tip – markets have a tendency to move to round numbers both on the upside and downside, you often see this happen in currencies, indices and individual shares. Look for possible moves to next levels, especially on falling markets, if you look at the way the Dow Jones fell from 9,000 to 8,000 in a matter of days back in October 08 this demonstrates the point.

4. Balance Risk and Reward

Everyone likes the big payouts; however, you have to remember there is a reason why you’re being offered a 300% return, that’s because there is a fairly slim chance that the bet will not payout. On the opposite end a 1% return is hardly going to make you rich and should the bet go wrong you would lose a large stake.  

The simple answer is to look for a balance and mix and match trades. In my own trading I am looking for returns between 40% to 100%.

Tip: Look to tweak your bets. Before you accept the bet you will be shown the odds and asked to confirm whether you’re happy or not. You can adjust the levels and dates and see how this affects your payout.

5. Be a disciplined trader not a reckless gambler

After a good run many become over confident and start taking stupid risks. After a poor run many try to play catch up and want to make their losses back fast, both actions are the easiest way to lose your trading capital. Many books have been written on Money Management with complicated formulas. The key should be that no one trade should ever cause you so much damage financially or emotionally. How every sure you are the XYZ is going to rocket, only a percentage of your trading bank should be risked.

6. Run two bets together, trading a pair

Another strategy is to trade two different markets that have a negative correlation. For example, Gold and the US Dollar. Gold is priced in US$ so if the dollar weakens then Gold tends to rise. Gold is also used as a hedge against falling currency values. So you could look to have a Bear bet on the US$/Euro and a Bull Bet on Gold.

The Japanese Yen and the US stock markets is another pair that can be traded. You may have heard of the Carry Trade, where the Yen is sold as money is borrowed in Yen and then the Yen are converted and invested in higher yielding currencies such as the New Zealand Dollar.

If you look at the Euro/Yen and say the S&P500 you will see that as the Euro/Yen weakens (so money is flowing back to the Yen  which is the funding currency)) as does the S&P500. If you see a funding currency strengthen such as the Yen it means traders are taking less risk which is not good for equity markets.

7.Seasonality – History does repeat itself in many markets

My trading style uses technical analysis with seasonality. Most know what technical analysis is however seasonality is not as well understood. Seasonality is using the calendar and past results to forecast the likelihood of the same happening again. For example, Gold tends to be strong in September where as stock markets tend to be weak. Periods around market holidays such as Christmas, Thanksgiving, Independence Day and the first few days of the month tend to be stronger. The well known saying, “Sell in May and go away,” whilst not perfect, has worked as a good base to a trading system which I used to make large profits in 2008. You will also find seasonality in commodities and some currencies. Watch the Yen strengthen around March time as large Japanese companies close their financial books and tend to put Yen back on their balance sheet.

8.  Combine Spread Bets and Fixed Odds

Let’s say you have a core view that the FTSE100 is going down and you have placed a spread bet to back this idea. After a week or so the FTSE100 starts going up or sideways, you could of course close your spread bet or you could leave it open and look to place a fixed odds bet to run along side it, maybe a barrier range, so whilst the market is going sideways your spread bet will not be making money but at least your fixed odds will make a profit.

Are you missing out?

Many using Financial Spread Bets or CFD’s have a tendency to look at fixed odds as a poor mans options market or haven’t treated it as a serious trading platform. 

Fixed Odds financials are now over 10 years old and have come along way and offer both small and not so small clients a way to back markets in unique ways. I have personally used Betonmarkets.com since 1999 and have traded a good few million pounds worth of bets during the last few years. I can assure you that it’s a serious trading vehicle that can compliment both spread betting and other forms of investing and its popularity will continue to grow. You can open a fixed odds account within minutes and start trading with as little as £25.

Vince Stanzione has been trading markets for over 23 years. He now trades his own accounts as well as teaching others and is the author of “Making Money from Financial Trading.” For more information go to www.fintrader.net

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NBA Betting Strategies- Make Full Time Money In NBA Betting With One Simple Strategy

Making a full time money in NBA betting seems to be a little unrealistic to most people. Many just could not believe that there are people in this world who are living solely depending on sports betting, for instance NBA betting, MLB baseball betting, NFL betting or soccer betting. Most, especially your family would tell you to “stay away from gambling” because that would ruin your life. You know what, I’m totally agree with that!

No one should ever start their betting campaigns by merely depend on online betting and honestly if you’re a bettor who’ve started betting not long ago and have been experiencing a good run in your betting, becareful! It is always hard to tell if you’re winning luckily unless you’ve really studied the teams and come out with your own proven betting strategy or system.

Talking about betting strategy, NBA betting is perhaps one of the easiest money-making place to make tons of cashes. I would not tell you why here because I have covered everything in my Nba Betting Tips- Tips to Skyrocket Your Basketball Betting Winning Rate

There’s one simple but important nba betting startegy I have always used in my NBA betting.

Firstly, research and write down the winning percentage on teams that you’re interested to bet on. For instance, if the Sacramento Kings are playing the Supersonics and Kings has a .700 winning percentage while the Supersonics have a .300 winning percentage. You need to find the difference between the two winning percentages so in this example the difference is 400.

Now, you’ve taken the difference between the two teams winning percentage you need to divide the number by 20. In our example 400 divided by 20 is 20. This simply means that the Kings should be at a 20 points favourite right now. From this point you need to either add 3 or subtract 3 from the point spread of the Kings based on whether there the home team or away team. If there home you’d add 3 points which would make the Kings a 23 point favourite and if there on the road you’d subtract 3 which would make the Kings a 17 point favourite.

Once you have this spread figure out you need to look at the actual spread of the game and if there is a difference of 10 or more you’re solid. So in our example where we have the Kings as a 23 point favourite at home and a 17 point favourite on the road you’d need to do the following. If for example the Kings are the home team you’d take 23 and subtract the point spread from the number. If there is a 10 point difference the Kings are a good bet. So for our example if the point spread for the Kings is 10 you’d take 23 and take away 10 which leaves 13. This would mean the Kings are a good bet.

Understand?

Mind you, this is only one of the NBA betting strategies I’ve always been referring. I used the word ‘referring’ because I don’t always depend on this to choose my picks but this strategy has been helping me a lot in NBA betting.

I’ve learnt quite a lot of NBA betting strategies and systems over the years and there are many NBA strategies and systems in the market which are NOT GOOD ENOUGH either because they pick too much in high risk betting hoping to win 1 or 2 out of 10 or because they simply don’t win enough at the end of the season as they’ve promised.

There’s only one super amazing nba betting system that has recorded me 97% winning of the time. It is something crazy but this is something I would really like to share with you because it has increased my nba betting profit for 500% since I started using it a year ago.

Read my sports betting champ review to find out how I managed to make 30k in a year with this incredible system!

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Baseball Betting Tips

Baseball the one sport that can increase the heart beats of most Americans, and when it comes to wagering on game, it takes enthusiasm up to the seventh heaven. Betting on baseball is not as common with the public as gambling on football. However, many professional sports gambler says that it is one of the best ways to make money since it is one of the easiest sports to handicap. There are also many games daily of the season to select from when making a bet, which means that gamblers can be more selective in choosing their games. The Nevada Sports books are commonly just happy to break even for the baseball season. Here some winning tips I like to follow when I bet on Baseball.

Successful professional sports bettors will not wager much on any games prior to June for several reasons. Early on the season, the weather can be bad at certain parks. Some managers are still trying out with their line-ups. Many good pitchers get off to a slow start at the beginning of the season. Spend the first few weeks analyzing the teams rather than betting them. The baseball season is long and there will be good deal of chances for betting the games.

Most professional sports bettors will tell you that the secret to winning is to wager on the underdog. When you wager on the money line on the underdog you are risking less to win more. The better baseball teams lose at least sixty games a year and the worst teams win close to that same number. The rest of the conference falls somewhere in between. Believe that the more favorites you bet, the higher the percentage of wins you will need to break even. The money line in baseball is always set by the starting pitcher. Look beyond the pitching to the teams other forces to make your decision.

After a favorite has won three games in a row, you should lay off wagering them at all prices. The betting odds stack up heavily against you in this position. The same can told about teams that are involved in a 3-game loosening streak. You should also only bet a team that has won their final game. The mental position of a team that is coming off a win is better than after a loss.

Wager on a team whose pitcher did well in his final game. Pitchers commonly work every fifth day. If a pitcher was clobber in his last outing, he may not be mentally prepared to pitch again. You should also check the team’s bullpen. You might be avoid the team that’s pitcher has been over worked in his last two games.

You should also think about the pitcher from the other team. When two class pitchers go head to head it could come down to a single fault to decide the game. I would rather wager on the best pitcher going against a lesser one than wager on two grand pitchers fighting it out.

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Handicapping Sports Weather

PRO INFO SPORTS takes all factors into consideration when handicapping sports investment opportunities for our Sports Handicapping Services, including the weather. We also strongly recommend clients give the “elements” a final check for any late-breaking developments prior to wagering, by reviewing our Weather Reports.

Atmospheric conditions can have a big impact on sporting events. In perceived football “mismatches”, poor weather tends to lessen the advantage powerful teams have over weaker opponents. The underdogs’ chances of keeping the games close or even pulling off the outright upsets are enhanced, especially by turnovers which occur with more frequency in bad-weather games. Just the threat of poor conditions can act as a great equalizer. Teams become more offensively conservative in order to avoid costly fumbles and interceptions. Either way, inclement weather in football usually portends defensive battles and low scores.

Sub-freezing temperatures generally restrain deep passing attacks, giving an advantage to football teams with superior running games or solid short-passing schemes. For baseball considerations, warm air is less dense, or thinner, than cold air. A would-be 400 ft shot at 75 degrees would carry 408 ft at 95 degrees.

Along with temperature, humidity has to be considered when factoring meteorological elements. An NFL team like the Miami Dolphins is conditioned to a hot and humid environment which is most extreme in the first month of the season. Take them out of their natural climate and their performance suffers, as shown by a large disparity in their September home record vs. December road games. Overall, teams from the South have the advantage when hosting a opponent not used to hot, humid conditions, while cold-weather squads from the North gain the edge when hosting warm-weather teams in chilly December weather.

Humidity can also affect a baseball game. According to Professor Robert Adair, the dean of baseball physicists, a baseball in a humid environment is actually heavier and less elastic than a dry ball, and, therefore, cannot be hit as far.

Wind is perhaps the most overlooked weather factor in sports handicapping. The importance of football special teams are amplified in bad weather, especially in windy conditions, as teams with superior kicking games have a distinct edge over an inferior kicking team. Meanwhile, teams that rely on passing games can be greatly affected by blustery conditions, especially if the winds are blowing across the field. In a game where there are strong winds blowing parallel to the direction of the field, one team will always have the wind at their backs, allowing them to pass the ball more easily; however, if the wind is blowing strongly across the field, this can hamper both teams’ passing attack for the entire game.

In regards to baseball, air moving along in the same direction the ball is flying pushes back less on the ball, allowing it to travel farther. In fact, the wind is very often the single most important thing to consider about the weather when betting baseball totals. A 400 ft shot in calm conditions would turn into a 445 ft blast with a 15 mph wind directed out to center field.

Yet another factor that has to be weighed when handicapping sports is altitude. At stadiums and arenas one mile or more above sea level, the air is considerably thinner than those below 1000 feet in elevation. With the oxygen level greatly reduced at higher elevations, the heart and breathing rates increase to compensate. This is experienced as shortness of breath and early fatigue. It takes about 10 days for the body to completely acclimate to altitude, so low-altitude teams making road trips to the Rocky Mountains simply don’t have enough time to fully adjust. They often struggle, especially late in a hard-fought contest.

As in poor-weather games, special teams play can become a more decisive factor in high-altitude football contests as well. Punts and placekicks travel longer distances due to decreased air resistance. The team with the more accurate and consistent kicking game will fare considerably better as they will be more likely to convert their increased kicking range into good field position and points.

Air under low pressure is less dense, or thinner, than air under high pressure. This is the main reason long balls carry farther in Denver – the atmospheric pressure at that altitude (5,300 ft) is always about 15% less than sea level pressures. A hit that would have flown 400 ft at sea level would carry to 430 ft in the thin air of Coors Stadium. This permanent effect of Denver’s high altitude is duly noted by the oddsmakers, however, resulting in totals typically in the 12-14 range, reducing the opportunity to simply bet OVERS and win most of the time. The day-to-day pressure changes of the atmosphere, however, are not considered by the oddsmakers, but these daily pressure differences at stadiums caused by the meanderings of the high and low pressures depicted on weather charts are very small. On a low pressure day the pressure is only one or two per cent lower than on a normal day, so a 400 ft shot would only carry a whopping 402 ft! Obviously this effect is too small to worry about in baseball, especially since there are other atmospheric factors that actually make a big difference.

PRO INFO SPORTS considers all of the NCAA Football and NCAA Basketball games played in the Rocky Mountains region “altitude games”, from El Paso, Texas (4,000 ft) to Laramie, Wyoming (7,100 ft). In the NFL and MLB, only Denver qualifies, while the NBA has 2 high-altitude sites in Denver and Salt Lake City (4,330 ft).

Ultimately, a decided competitive advantage can be gained by a team in its element playing an opponent out of its element, whether it is temperature, humidity, precipitation, wind, or altitude.

These weather principles are, of course, generalities and all factors must be considered when analyzing sports investment opportunities, but the monitoring and scrutinizing of these conditions and circumstances are examples of how PRO INFO SPORTS gains a significant sports handicapping advantage and uses the information to help determine the strength of certain selections according to our Money Management strategy.

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