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Years back I found the perfect hobby to combine both my lifelong passions of sports and statistics in the fascinating world of sports betting. Over the last 10 years I’ve spent untold hours exhaustively researching the sporting database in an aspiring pursuit to develop the ultimate foolproof sports betting system.

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Several times each week, I’d place bets on the particular teams that I’ve statistically calculated to have exceptionally high chances of betting success. Each bet routinely pulls in over $10,000 into my account. Not bad for a 5-minute job!

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Technorati Tags: sports bets, sports betting, sports wagering, winning sports bets

There are of course the LSU, Alabama and Ole Miss. LSU and Alabama are the better teams of the lot but Ole Miss might have a breakout season this year. The chances aren’t that great though for Ole Miss. Georgia is another team to watch out for with Mark Richt guiding them forth. However, it is highly unlikely that any of these teams would be able to get away with the title by defeating the Gators.

Hence, currently it is safe to predict that the Gators will win the trophy this time as well making it their second time in a row. What happens to the rest of rankings is actually what is interesting right now. Let’s take a look at the Gators and the other two teams that at the top 3 for SEC this season.

Florida Gators ? There’s nothing much to say about this team except for how they completely dominated the conference. They completely routed Georgia, LSU and Alabama on their way to spectacularly defeating Oklahoma to win the national title. Those who think that this amazing performance cannot be repeated should think again. The entire 2009 team is the same as the 2008 time with Percy Harvin being the only exception. That means Tim Tebow is back at the quarterback position and all the starters, yes each and every one of them are returning this season. Only a sudden change can stop them now.

LSU Tigers ? They are not going to be able to stand against the Gators but they are likely to win the West. Theirs is a team that has comparatively fewer weaknesses than the rest of the teams below them in the division. Their quarterback Jordan Jefferson has been a great last season and he could make 2009 a breakout season with the help of players like wideout Brandon LaFell and tailback Charles Scott he can really make things happen for the Tigers. The defensive portion of the team is quite good with Harry Coleman in the team still. Once they improve on their offense, they are very likely to go for the West title that is currently held by Alabama.

Alabama Crimson Tide ? Everyone’s completely in awe of Nick Saban right now and many believe that the Crimson Tide is going to be a great team from now till kingdom come. They are forgetting a major fact here. John Parker Wilson (Quarterback), Andre Smith (Offensive tackle) and Glen Coffee (tailback) have all left this season. These were the top performers of last year and Saban is to replace all three. Even though the man has been great at recruiting in recent time, it is uncertain whether Alabama will regain all of the lost force. They may win the SEC West title but they have to play much harder now.

Technorati Tags: sports bets, sports betting, sports wagering, winning sports bets

For more articles and information on the wonderful game of poker, visit Poker Room Inc

This is not a hardened set of rules to follow, but is intended to provide a suggestion on how to go about winning a MTT or at very least placing in the money as often as possible. Taking into account that a MTT can vary from as little as 5 to as many as several thousand players, there is a very large element of luck in not only winning a MTT, but even placing in the money.

Keep in mind that there is an ever bigger element of skill involved.

There are some very nice reasons to play in a MTT.

If you win, you will win many times the amount you used to buy into the MTT.
In a rebuy MTT, most of the players will rebuy at least once, making the pot that much bigger.
Generally the lower the buy in, the more times your opponents are going to rebuy. Thereby adding to the pot and making it that much more attractive. I have played in a $2.25 buy-in MTT with a guarrenteed $500 prize pool. 104 players took part. The prize for first place started at 29% ($145). By the end of the tournament, which I won, the first prize, at 20% of the prize pool was $381, making the total prize pool $1905. It only cost me $2 to buy in and $2 to buy an add on, so I’m sure you can see how profitable playing in MTT’s can be.

WARNING:

Never ever rebuy so many times that it costs you more to play than you will win if you place in the last paying place. This may seem obvious, but it is very easy to lose track of your rebuys.
I use a rule to never rebuy more than 3 or 4 times. I have watched some players rebuy 20 or 30 times in a low buy in tournament, just so they can be in it after the rebuy period is over, just to bust out yet again after the rebuy period is over. It seems stupid, but it happens, and the only thing that it does, is add to the prize pool.

Another nice thing is that even if you don’t finish in the money, you only lose a relatively small amount of money. You would need to win only one in about 10 MTT’s to make a nice profit. If you can win one in ten, you should be a very happy poker player.

Here is an example…

Over the time of a couple of months:

Starting with an initial bankroll of $100:

You buy into 30 – $500 guarranteed $2.25 MTT’s. Your buy in is $2.25, you limit yourself to 2 Rebuys and the Addon.

That comes to a total cost to you of $270.00. Seems like a bit of money?

Lets say that you win every 10 times you enter (thats only 3 wins out of 30 entries) and you lose every other time. Lets also say that you were the only other player to rebuy or add on. This will never happen, but for this example and ease of calculations we will do this.

Thats 3 wins out of 30 entries = $145 * 3 = $435.

$435 – $270.00 = $165.00.

Here is the breakdown. It cost you $270.00 to enter these 30 MTT’s. You won 3 of them, winning a total of $435.
Thats $165.00 profit in the first 2 months. That may not seem like a lot of money, but as your skill and confidence grows, you will enter MTT’s with bigger prize pools, enabling you to win bigger prizes. In some of these MTT’s you won’t need to rebuy or buy an addon, making the buy in cheaper.

Keep in mind that there will always be rebuys and addons done by most of your opponents. This will boost the prize pool. You may also find that you will also place in the money a few times when you don’t finish first, so these figures are very conservative, but you have to remember that you must play the correct type of game to enable yourself to win.

This is where these suggestions come into play…

Luck…

There are players who seem to be able to place in the money quite often. They are either very lucky or very very skilled in the art of playing poker. Every good poker player knows that luck does play a part in playing poker, but it is what you do with that luck that makes or breaks you. By “luck”, I don’t mean only good luck! Basically, good and bad luck will even out over time. There is no doubt about that, and there have been many studies in that very subject.

When you play poker you should never play as if luck is going to get you through a hand. There are times that you will get good luck in a failed bluff, but if your bluffs fail, don’t rely on good luck to get you through. On the other hand, bad luck is bad luck and you should never be worrying about bad luck while playing poker. Always focus on the positive.

Always fold when you think or know you are beaten. If you think you are beaten, then chances are, you are! It is better to fold a medium strength hand and keep your stack to come back and beat your opponents, than to lose all or a big chunk on your stack on one crappy hand.

Poker is, and will always be dominated by players who know this and act correctly on this. Even if you weren’t beaten, the odds will work in your favour if you use them correctly.

In only my 2nd live poker tournament, I was going along quite nicely. The blinds were 300/600 and my stack was about 50 times the big blind. I was dealt 9To UTG. I decided to fold even though I was thinking of a big raise bluff. The flop came rainbow6-9-T. I was a little shocked, but I know that these things do happen. A friend, who was sitting behind me and watching me play, was also shocked and he told me that I would have won the hand when the turn came out. I don’t remember anything more about that hand other than that the winning hand was A card high and the 3 players that played to the river were all in. The winner of the hand was the person who beat me – to boot me in 3rd place. Had I stayed in the hand, I would have eliminated 3 of the 6 of us that were still in the game, and would have been the chip leader by a very long way. Instead, I was one of 4 players left.

My point here is that, yes, I would have won the hand if I had stayed in, but my cards were not strong enough to beat mostplayers’ cards who may have called my bluff. There was no way for me to know that my cards would have been the best of the hand, but thats poker and you just have to forget about those hands and carry on playing.

Skill…

When you play poker, you should never worry too much about luck. Skill, knowledge and experience are far more important. In any game of poker, you may be lucky enough to get good pocket cards often. If you do, then thats great, but you need to know what to do with the pocket cards that you have been dealt. Even Pocket AA is beatable, and it is skill, knowledge and experience that will tell you to muck your rockets if the flop comes up with a possible straight or flush, and you get re-raised. It may be one of the hardest things to do, but it could mean the difference beween finishing in the money or just bombing out. If you do muck those rockets, you will be doing it, knowing that the next time you get those pocket rockets, you most likely, will be smiling all the way to the river.

My advice in this respect is to watch, read and play:

Watch:

Watch as many good poker players play as you can. Note what they do when they get particular pockets, how they check, call, bet and raise. How and when they bluff. What they do with catagory 1 pocket cards. Anything and everything you learn from the good poker players will do your poker game a lot of good. Never copy their game exactly because your circumstances will never be the same as those at the table you were watching. Pick a style that suits your game and adapt it to the playing conditions at your table. I suppose you could also watch bad poker players. Just be careful to remind yourself that what you are seeing is NOT what you should be doing.

Read:

Find as much literature as you can on how to play poker. Read books, blogs and articles. Read them and then read them again. Find your weaknesses and find out how to fix them. If you find a weakness, fix it by finding out what you do in a particular situation that you handle badly, and change it so that it isn’t a bad situation any more. Work out how you can stop yourself getting into those bad situations. The bottom line here is that if you don’t get into the situation, you won’t be forced to deal with it.

If you find that you are betting most or all of your stack on one set of what you think is a great pair of pockets, against a loose/aggressive opponent, then losing the hand because your opponent got lucky, you can either call it unlucky and carry on losing your stacks, or you can find out how to stop your losses.

You have a choice to make. Do you want to get better at playing, or do you want to stay where you are in your skill. If you are like me, you should be obsessed about improving your game all the time. Never rest until you are good enough. That will never happen. There is no such thing as good enough. I am willing to bet that even the top pros analyse their games and look for holes to plug. The best advice I ever saw was to not do anything stupid. Take that however you like.

Play:

This one is obvious. Sit in at a table whether it is in a casino, online or at home with friends. Experience will give you something that nothing else will give you. You can watch as many poker players play the game as you like. You can read till you have the print burned in your brain. These things will help, but playing poker is going to be the best way for you to learn how to play. Without playing poker, you are never going to find out where your weaknesses are. You will never know how you react when you get that monster unbeatable hand. You are never going to find out what it feels like to be beaten by a royal flush when you have a straight flush ten high, and your opponent goes all in with his entire stack and yours is smaller. Ok, this may never happen, but I am sure it has happened to someone, somewhere, sometime.

My point is that there is no substitute to playing poker when you want to learn how to play poker well. Even if you play in free online poker games.

NOTE!!! Free online poker is never a good reflection on real money poker play, but at least it will give you an idea of how to play and what to expect when you do play.

Ok, enough waffle…

Playing in a MTT is a lot like playing cash poker. There are some differences though.

In a cash game, your aim is to out play your opponents in order to, at some point, leave with more money than you arrived with. If you get into a MTT, there are some things that you must ask yourself:

1. Why are you entering?

• If your answer is not “To finish in first place!!!“, then don’t bother entering. You will be wasting your time and money.

2. Do you have a realistic chance of finishing in first place?

• Again, if your answer is not “Yes” then don’t bother entering. Depending on a few factors here, you need to consider your chances of winning very carefully.
• If you are new to playing poker and have a small bankroll of $50, then don’t enter a $50 buy in MTT. You won’t have the experience to win it, and even if you do, you may be soo scared of losing, that you won’t play well. If you don’t finish in the money you will have to fund another bankroll and start from scratch.
• Select your MTT carefully. You need to make sure that if you don’t play well, or just get unlucky, you will have enough of a bankroll left after the buy in to enter several more. Find a good bankroll strategy and stick to it.

3. How long do you have before you will have to stop playing?

• Depending on the number of participants, the time that you will need to be able to play continuously can vary, but the minimum time that you can expect to need is about 2 hours. It could take many more hours, but 2 is pretty much the least amount of time you will need. If you don’t have enough time to devote to the MTT, don’t enter!
• When you play cash games, you can always leave when you lose some of your money or win a lot of money. Nothing is stopping you from leaving these games except your decision to stay. You decide what to do. In a MTT, you cannot leave until one of 3 things happen…

1. You decide that you want to leave and you do.
2. You lose all of your chips and if it is a rebuy MTT you decide not to rebuy and you leave, or there are no rebuys offered and you are forced to leave because you have no more chips to play with.
3. There is only one player left and you are it. You have won and the tournament is over. This is without a doubt the thing you should be aiming at.

In a cash game your opponents get to watch you while you play, and you get to watch them while they play. In a MTT you will be shifted from table to table as the players in the tournament bomb out, to even out the tables. You won’t be able to watch many players for too long, but you should still be making notes as you go along, about what the others are doing in particular situations. I promise you, they are watching you and making their own notes on you.

Why make notes when you are being moved from table to table? Good question!
The notes you make while playing in the run up to the final table, may help you when you get to the final table. What if you notice in the early stages of the MTT, that Joe Blow, folds to any big re-raise after his pre-flop medium sized bet? What if you end up one on one at the final table, with Joe Blow and he makes a medium sized bet, and you are next to act, and you have Aj off suit? If you had made notes you would know that if you throw a big raise at him, there is a good chance he will fold, and you would have won the blinds and his chips that he bet.

If you hadn’t made the note, you wouldn’t have known and you might have folded, giving him your blind.

Another reason for making notes, is that you may end up playing the same people in another MTT or some other game. You cannot think that you will be able to remember what everyone does in any given situation. Thats why you make notes. In online poker, the software you use to play will have a facility for you to keep your notes on other players built into it. Use it!

Phases of the game…

A lot of people like to split their MTT strategy into three separate phases. Personally, I like the idea of a four phase split.

In my opinion the Four phases are:

Phase 1 – All play up to the first break. This phase is where you are allowed to rebuy if rebuys are allowed.
Phase 2 – All play from the end of the first break to the final table.
Phase 3 – All play on the final 2 tables until there are only 4 to 6 players left.
Phase 4 – All play from 4 or 5 players until you are either out of chips, or win the MTT.

Phase 1: – Mostly Tight/Passive Play

Play just to stay in the game. Only play the very strong pocket cards unless you are in the Big Blind and are not raised. The blinds are way too low in this stage, usually ranging from 10/20 to 40/80, in the first hour. These blinds are not going to make a big impact when you manage to steal them because you are not likely to steal them in the first place. In this phase, because rebuys are usually available, most people don’t mind throwing large percentages of their stack into the pot, in the off chance of doubling or trippling up on their chips. Making a big bluff – raise in the first phase is stupid, because the percentages of someone calling or raising you are that much higher. DO NOT bluff in the hopes of stealing blinds in the first phase!!! Not unless you want to spend a fortune on rebuys.

You may lose part or most of your stack in the first phase, but by playing only the very strong starting pocket cards, you may find that you actually are staying up with the average stack, or doing even better.

I have played tournaments where I had less than my starting ships up to the last 10 minutes of the rebuy period, and ended up chip leader going into the break, just by playing the best starting cards.

With around 10 minutes of play left, before the first break, you will find that some players will start to go a little crazy.

They will begin to play almost any pocket cards.

What to do:

If you…

• …have fewer than your starting chips, and you haven’t used any rebuys up to now.
  I suggest you make a big effort to win some chips. A lot of people at this point will be trying to double up so they can go into the break with a bigger stack. Loosen up a little yourself and play aggressivly if you hit a top pair, or better. If you win, you will be happy. If you loose your entire stack. Make a rebuy to get back into things and then make another rebuy to double up if you can, then tighten right up and only play the great pocket cards up to the break.
  When the break comes you may be offered an addon. Take it if it is offered. This should add nearly the same amount of chips to your stack that you got in your rebuys.
• …have a medium sized stack going into the break. By that I mean more or less the same as the average stack size.
  You are doing pretty well. Just keep to your current tight game plan. Only play the best of the best pockets, and if you hit a monster hand on the flop get very aggressive and win as much as you can. Remember, people are going a little crazy trying to double up, so take advantage and add to your stack. Take the addon if it is offered at the break.
• …have a huge stack at least 50% bigger than the average. Depending on the number of players, you should be in the top 20 at least. Sit back and wait for the break. That is unless you hit a monster hand on the flop. Never miss an opportunity to add to your stack. Never take risks in this situation. NEVER! You are in the top 20, you don’t need to risk losing a big chunk of your stack. Remember why you are playing. TO WIN!!! Never forget that. You don’t need the addon. If you have 50000 chips, 1500 or 2000 chips isn’t going to make that much difference. Your main reason for playing poker is to make more money than you spend, so don’t spend it unless you have to.

Phase 2: – Tight/Passive to a bit more Aggressive Play

At the end of the first break, you may find that you have a good read on some of the players. Carry on with your tight/passive play, but you can start to loosen up a little and get more aggressive. NEVER go all in unless you have the nuts. If you find you have a nice hand, but it isn’t a nut hand, and you are raised, fold. Keep your stack growing, but never take risks that will cause you to lose a lot of chips. This applies especially to going up against players with a stack similar or larger in size to yours. Remember, there are no more rebuys available, and if you lose all of your chips, you are out.
Keep reminding yourself why you are playing. TO WIN!!! You want to add to your bankroll, not take from it.
You may be bored or tired. Snap out of it. Watch the game and how it changes. Don’t hesitate to take someone out of the gamehere. For every player that goes out, you get one step closer to winning.

If you have good pocket cards, but they aren’t caragory 1 pocket cards, and there are 2 or 3 or even 4 players all-in, beforeyou, FOLD! You don’t need to go all in. With this many players all-in, at least 2 should be kicked out. You don’t need to take that chance even if your stack is way below the average stack size. These player’s going out or losing a big percentage of their stacks will strengthen your position.

If you have a stack that is…

• …less than 50% of the average stack.
  You need to get much more aggressive. Play a little looser and do everything you can to grow your stack. If you successfully get your stack up to the average stack size or even better, go back to being tight/aggressive and keep your stack growing. Do not take un-nessesary risks.
• …around the same size as the average stack.
  Keep your play tight/aggressive. Do not take un-nessesary risks and keep thats stack growing.    
  between the average and the leader or is the biggest stack.
  You are really doing well. Adjust your play to very tight/very aggressive. If you hit a monster, hit the table with hugebets and re-raises. Small stacks will fold because they want to stay in, and large stacks should fold because they want tokeep their stacks. Be careful though. Don’t bet or raise with nothing, and don’t make a huge bet unless you have the nuts. Some bluffing may work some times, but you may get caught and you will pay a heavy price for getting caught with a very big bluff. If you have the nuts and someone calls or raises your bets, then thats all the more chips for you.

Phase 3: – Very Tight/Very Aggressive Play

When you reach this phase, if you are like me your addreneline will be pumping and your heart will be beating in your head. Try your hardest to keep cool. Almost everyone will be like this. My motto here is…

He whom makes mistakes will pay for them.

I live by this while playing poker, and it does me good. You have to keep cool. Do not make mistakes. Take your time if you need to. Don’t rush into a stupid play. Everything may become a little insane.

You will see players really loosen up in this phase. Stay calm and make them pay for it. Stick to being very tight. If you get a very good hand, make a huge bet and make the others pay if they call you. Your objective here is to grow your stack massivley while kicking the other players out of the game.

By the time you get to phase 3 you will have a pretty good read on your opponents. Use it to your advantage. If you see that there are no raises in front of you and you are in late position, don’t be afraid to throw a massive bet in. If you have been playing a good tight aggressive strategy up to this point, you will find that your opponents should fold.
If they call, make a quick huge bet on the flop. You would have to be crazy to call a massive bet at this stage unless you have the nuts. More often than not, your opponent won’t, but he won’t know that you didn’t flop one yourself.
If you do flop the nuts, then you may want to think about slow playing the hand, but that is something you will have to decide on at that point. If you manage to catch someone out like that, the rest of the players will get that much more respect for you, and that can never hurt.

Remember to not do anything stupid. If you make a mistake, hope it is a small one.

Phase 4: – Loosish/Very Aggressive Play.

At this point of the game, the stacks will all pretty much be very big, and the blinds will also be pretty high. With only 5 or 6 players at the final table, you can loosen up quite a bit. You can call most blinds with picture cards or A and 8+. Be careful of big bets and re-raises. Keep generally tight, but get very very aggressive. All of the players in this phase are in the money, and mostly will be happy to finish here, but you won’t.

You want to win! Remember that!

You want to take everyone’s chips and you want to be aggressive in doing it. Most of the others will be hoping to stay in just a little longer to watch another player or two drop out here, so they can be guarranteed of one more place. You can take advantage of this by stealing some blinds, and by beating them when you have good cards. Note, I said good cards, not thenuts. Most of your opponents will be happy to place in the money, and will call most smallish bets with ordinary hands. This is not a hardened rule, so be selective with your bets. If you are raised on a small bet you could be beaten. You may want to think about a fold in this case. Watch out for check-raises here as well. You don’t want to lose too many chips to being too aggressive.

Remember that this is only a guide and you will have to adapt any strategy that you employ to help you win, to the conditions at the table you are seated at.

Now go out there and win!

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Is sports betting champ a scam?

Are the records reliable?

P/S: You can choose to jumpshoot and get to know my sportsbettingchamp winning secret or continue my article.

Alright, here is the truth.

Sports betting champ might be the last sports betting system you ever need honestly. Indeed, John Morrison, the creator of sports betting champ has done a very very good job for all of the enthusiastic bettors in the world.

I bought sports betting champ 3 years ago and intially, like everyone else, was very skeptical towards his picks and system.

I still remembered I told my friend who told me about this.

“I haven’t seen anything like this before. 97% winning rate is just too good to be true. I don’t believe it. “

Use common sense, how is it possible a sports betting system which has recorded 97% winning rate and proven along with more than 10k of users charges you only $197? That is illogical.

First of all, the pricing is wrong. If you do some research online, ALL paid picks, yes I mean ALL, charge ANNUALLY. 9 out of 10 cost you $300 or above. Most importantly, these paid picks only recorded an average of 30~70% winning rate, which is already considered reasonable high winning rate.

“Secondly, it is very unlikely to record 97%, not unlikely, is IMPOSSIBLE,” I told my friend.

My friend smiled. “Yes, it is impossible, given that sports betting champ plays every matches in a season. Sports betting champ does not play all the games in a NBA and MLB season. In fact, only 60~80 games in NBA and 40~70 games in MLB are strictly selected to be played under this system.“

Now this explained why sports betting champ is able to win 97% of the time. In 2006/07 and 2007/08 NBA season, we recorded 66-2 and 80-1. While for MLB, we recorded 52-1 and 67-3 in the 2006/07 and 2007/08 season.

Obviously, sports betting champ’s followers are the happiest people in the world because by only following the picks sent by John Morrison who is the creator of sports betting champ, you can pick up 80+ wins and near to zero lose in a season.

Read my sports betting champ review to know how to record more wins in real life betting with the amazing sports betting champ!

I’ve revealed everything I know and how to get the best out of the sportsbettingchamp picks and system in my sportsbettingchamp review. Read it in sports betting champ secret review immediately!

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The Broncos (8-4) sailed through their first six games, winning all of them, but came back to Earth when they lost four straight. Now, winners of two straight and leaders in the AFC Wild-Card race, Denver can show that they have truly come back by handing the Colts (12-0) their first loss of the season and put a stop to their 21-game regular season winning streak.

Denver is looking for a big win over a quality opponent. They defeated the New York Giants on Thanksgiving at home, but most figured the Giants’ were heading in the wrong direction until they dismantled the Dallas Cowboys last Sunday. They followed that up with an easy 44-13 win over the division rival Kansas City Chiefs, in which they ran for a season-high 245 yards on the ground.

Denver Broncos Vs. Indianapolis Colts Sunday Night NFL Football Picks

The biggest surprise of the Broncos season had been their defense, but during their losing streak it resorted to looking like one of the worst in the league that Denver had over the past couple of seasons, but they limited have allowed an average of just 244.5 total yards during their two-game winning streak.

Two-game winning streaks are merely a drop in the bucket for the team going for the NFL record for consecutive regular season wins. A win on Sunday will give Indianapolis the honor, snapping the record set from 2006-2008 by the New England Patriots.

In the Colts’ latest win, 27-17 over a surging Tennessee Titans team last Sunday, Indianapolis clinched the AFC South title for the sixth time in seven years and have moved one-step closer to the inevitable outcome of having a first-round bye and the playoffs going through Indianapolis.

It is no surprise that Peyton Manning is once again leading the onslaught with an NFL-best 3685 yards. Manning is on pace for another MVP season and has had quite a solid supporting staff with Reggie Wayne going over 1000 yards receiving last week and tight end Dallas Clark knocking on the door with 859.

Manning threw for a pedestrian (for Peyton) 193 yards with a more Peyton-like three touchdowns the last time these AFC foes met in September of 2007, a 38-20 Colts win in Indianapolis. Denver last won on the road against the Indianapolis Colts in 2003 and have lost seven of the last 10 overall.

For More NFL football picks

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Say what you want about Thursday Night Football taking away from tradition but that Pittsburgh loss to Cleveland has revealed an element to this Sunday’s card that was nearly impossible to imagine before kickoff.

Baltimore, Miami and the New York Jets are the teams most affected by the outcome and while the importance of winning this weekend was always high, the opening to a playoff door just got wider.

The Denver Broncos are still in the driver’s seat atop the Wild Card standings and Jacksonville controls its own destiny, but news out of Florida on Friday is that Rashean Mathis (groin), Mike Sims-Walker (calf) and John Henderson (shoulder) are all doubtful for Sunday’s matchup vs. the Dolphins. It has sent the line tumbling and has all but guaranteed you won’t be catching the Ravens or Jets looking past their games against lesser opponents.

Ahhh, football in December… you’ve gotta love it.

Week 14 NFL Picks

A successful 4-1 Sunday in Week 13 helped turn our overall record back in the right direction. We’ve now posted winning records in three of the past four weeks (12-9, 57-percent) and look to continue with five more best bets for Sunday.

GREEN BAY (8-4) AT CHICAGO (5-7)
Line: Packers -3.5
Over/Under: 41
Two teams full of hope when they met in Week 1 go head to head and the picture is a lot clearer now. Green Bay has won four in a row (3-1 ATS) and is in line for a Wild Card if season ended today. The Packers defense has done its job despite injuries while Chicago’s never seemed to rise above loss of Brian Urlacher. Biggest improvement in Green Bay has been protection for QB Rodgers. Pack has allowed only eight sacks in the past four games compared with average of 4.5 per game through first nine weeks. The field goal line has come with a price all week but buying down here with a divisional road favorite is a wise move.
BetRepublic.com Pick: Take the Packers

DETROIT (2-10) AT BALTIMORE (6-6)
Line: Ravens -13.5
Over/Under: 39.5
It’s rarely a good alternative handing the ball to a QB who last engineered a win over two years ago but given the state of the Lions’ season and the condition of QB Stafford; Daunte Culpepper is the best alternative for Jim Schwartz. Detroit can’t get any worse at turnovers; they are already leading that category and with Culpepper using this game as a live audition for another roster in 2010 we expect a decent performance. Baltimore should also refocus after losing on Monday at Green Bay and the Ravens are known to put up plenty of points against bad defensive teams.
BetRepublic.com Pick: Take the “Over”

MIAMI (6-6) AT JACKSONVILLE (7-5)
Line: Jaguars -3
Over/Under: 44
Just as the Dolphins are starting to hit full-stride it appears the Jaguars could be ready to stumble. Jacksonville shrugged off its second disappointing visit to the west coast this season by winning a crucial game against the Texans last week. Miami pulled off an upset that rivals Cleveland’s feat and now has the scent of the AFC East title. QB Henne threw for a career high 335 yards last week, RB Williams is on track for 1,000 yards and special teams are solid. If the defense can keep RB Jones-Drew in check we like Miami’s chances of possibly winning straight-up.
BetRepublic.com Pick: Take the Dolphins

SAN DIEGO (9-3) AT DALLAS (8-4)
Line: Cowboys -3
Over/Under: 48.5
It’s not often you find a division leader that’s playing its best football of the season getting this many points but Dallas has a home record that warrants the number. Sportsbooks are looking for balanced action, too, and the Cowboys win vs. the Giants last weekend has attracted support. There is something about those Cowboy home victories that has us liking the dog in this contest. Carolina, Atlanta, Seattle, Washington and Oakland have a combined road record of 6-24 SU (.200) while San Diego is 5-1 SU away from home and 2-0 in non-Conference play.
BetRepublic.com Pick: Take the Chargers

WASHINGTON (3-9) AT OAKLAND (4-8)
Line: Redskins -1
Over/Under: 37.5
The Skins were oh so close to dethroning the undefeated Saints last week and now travel to the west coast to face a Raiders team who, by all accounts, just won its Super Bowl for the year in Pittsburgh. We look for the Redskins to play hard on both sides of the ball and not fall victim to the black hole but think that defense from both teams will have a greater say in determining this outcome. Betting the total in this game holds more appeal to us than either side.
BetRepublic.com Pick: Take the “Under”

Last Week: 4-1
Overall Record: 35-31 (Sides: 24-23; Totals: 11-8)

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Posted pointspreads can differ by a point or more on the same game, because lines are intended to evenly divide the wagering public’s opinion and, thus, their money. When a sportbook begins to receive more money on one side of a game than the other, they will likely move their line; however, due to the fact that there are so many gambling sportsbooks now, some houses may not receive as big of an imbalance of money as others, resulting in different lines for the same game.

Simple mathematics can easily establish the importance of “line shopping” or finding the best sports odds, as it can ultimately provide the difference between a profitable or losing week, month, or season. Random selections on 100 games should theoretically yield 50 wins and 50 losses. Assume for demonstration’s sake that 1 unit was wagered on each game. The result would be a net loss of 5 units due to the “vigorish” service fee taken by sportsbooks on each wager; however, if just FIVE of the defeats were within a point or two of the wagered line, and could have been won simply by finding a better pointspread, the result would be a 55-45 record and a net profit of 5.5 units. This is a reversal of more than 10 units on just a small number of events and with very conservative wagering. Even a half-point can be the difference between a win and a push or a push and a loss. Extrapolate the numbers over the course of a season with a more aggressive money management strategy and the gains are compounded dramatically.

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Once your sportsbook accounts are funded, you are ready to find the best sports odds and put our handicapping and money management strategies to work for a rewarding and enjoyable sports investment venture with our Sports Handicapping Services.

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Now, though, it’s a soaring business.

Airport retail generated $34 billion in sales in 2007, up from $29 billion in 2006. Luxury goods accounted for 35.5 percent of those sales, a 16.6 percent increase over 2006, according to research service Generation Databank. That’s why Bally, Prada, Ferragamo and Chloé, among others, are all going along for the ride.

“Airport retail is growing very quickly, and the image is also changing,” said Marco Franchini, CEO of Bally, which will have 48 airport outlets in locations ranging from Shanghai to Amsterdam by the end of the year. “The market is shifting from a main category, like tobacco, alcohol and cosmetics, to a more brand-oriented shopping experience, with full boutiques and personalized shop-in-shop corners.”

To cash in, brands are funneling a chunk of their money into airports overseas. Splashy new terminals opened earlier this year in London and Beijing.

“Airports are a wonderful place for retail,” said Neil Clifford, CEO of Kurt Geiger, which has six airport shops in the U.K. and in March bowed a Kurt Geiger boutique in Heathrow’s Terminal 5, joining such neighbors as Prada, with its first airport store, and Christian Dior. “You’ve got money, you’re going on holiday and you have time to spare. You can buy an iPod or a Montblanc pen or a Hugo Boss shirt.”

Or a pair of shoes. “We play with the traffic, play with the mix from morning to evening depending on the [flight] destination,” said Clifford, of the various styles offered. “If there’s a Far Eastern flight in the morning, we put the higher end out front. If it’s European or domestic in the evening, we may have more high fashion and fast fashion, more women’s.” Handbags represent about 25 to 30 percent of the selection, with brands such as Marc Jacobs, Tory Burch and Vivienne Westwood.

Still, a few signs suggest that airport retail could lose altitude. Increased oil prices are making airline tickets more expensive, while the uptick in food and gas prices gives consumers pause before spending on pricey vacations.

But experts say people will still travel, even though they might fly less.

The question for airport retailers, then, is whether to chase the upscale, “commercially important passengers” — as airlines label them — or try to squeeze an extra dollar or two out of the ordinary traveler. So far, luxury names are betting that the world population of high-spending travelers will increase. It’s just a matter of figuring out which countries they’ll be flying to and from.

High Road to China

One growing travel area is China. In February, Beijing Capital International opened the world’s largest airport terminal, Terminal 3, partly in preparation for this month’s Olympic Games.

Meanwhile, Hong Kong International Airport reported 20 percent retail sales growth in the first four months of 2008, and a 25 percent growth for luxury retail. It is currently soliciting offers from tenants for the planned East Hall Luxury Brand Boutique Boulevard.

In 2007 in China, international passenger traffic was up by 17 percent, to 38.3 million passengers. But domestic Chinese air travel dwarfs that, at 349 million. And that group, though not as free-spending as the international travelers, has plenty of appeal, too. What’s more, the wealth of China’s middle class is among the world’s fastest growing.

“[Beijing Terminal 3 has] the most luxurious domestic mix that I’ve seen anywhere in the world, with brands such as Omega, which is not normal in the domestic market,” said Robbie Gill, an architect and a director of The Design Solution, a London firm that plans and designs airport retail. “The Chinese are a massive market. Those brands have to work hard to be the preferred brand. They’re using shops in domestic terminals as 3-D advertisements.”

Bally has spots in Beijing’s international and domestic terminals. “Our airport locations act as virtual ‘ambassadors’ for the brand,” Franchini said. “Our strategy is to open boutiques. In the case where the airport shopping area doesn’t allow full-size boutiques, we ask for a personalized shop-in-shop or a corner.”

Laurence Franklin, CEO of the Tumi luggage, handbag and accessory chain, agreed that individual shops are a goal. Of Tumi’s more than 120 points of sale in airports worldwide, about 20 are standalone or side-by-side stores. “Our strategy is to expand our airport presence aggressively, but with an emphasis on quality — meaning fully branded, standalone stores — versus quantity,” he said. “Airport development is central not just to our global retail strategy but is a significant part of our overall brand strategy for the next several years.”

Passage to India

For many brands, India is at the top of the wish list, partly because its elite consumers are used to shopping in airports. “India’s own domestic middle class has been growing at a phenomenal rate, but the quality and amount of retail downtown never caught up,” Gill said. “Indians had to travel to buy it.”

So now the market is coming to India. Gill’s firm is preparing retail plans for three new terminals in the Delhi and Mumbai airports, one opening in December and the others in 2010. “There will be a large luxury component,” he said.

A change in airport ownership is also boosting commerce in India, Gill said. “Private entities bought both airports, so the whole face of Indian airport travel will be transformed.” But he doesn’t want to transform it into a luxury paradise. “We’ll have a design area dedicated to craft, with Indian retailers. It will be different from what you see in the rest of the world. You’ll see the richness of a culture through its retailers,” he explained. “[The luxury concentration] is not a problem for sales, but it might be in the future because if you replicate the same names worldwide, there’s no sense of difference.

“Not everybody can afford to walk into Gucci and drop $2,000 on a handbag,” Gill continued. “Seventy-five percent of the people who visit airports only buy a newspaper and a cup of coffee.”

Other up-and-coming airport retail countries include Russia, where the ARI management firm won the retail contract for Terminal 3, opening in October at Moscow’s Sheremetyevo Airport.

At Singapore’s Changi Airport, Chloé opened its first store within that country in May 2007, choosing the airport over a city location. Gill’s firm designed Changi’s Valiram luxury island, which houses shops for Bottega Veneta, Fendi, Cartier and Bulgari.

Charles de Gaulle’s T2E terminal opened in March in Paris with the first Yves Saint Laurent airport store.

In England, Clifford is enthusiastic about the new store at Heathrow. “We’ve been pleasantly surprised,” he said. “We’re seeing relatively single-digit growth — not 10 to 20 percent — but T5 represents a new store and a new business for us. London is a pretty cool international destination. We’re benefiting from that.”

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Since BetFair is a betting exchange and it also offers betting on card games, these card games are called as exchange games. Exchange Baccarat, exchange Blackjack, and Exchange Hi/Low are some of the popular card games on BetFair.

How to Find These Exchange Games:

Since BetFair offers these games, they are available on the official website of BetFair. Once the website is open, there is an option as Games. By clicking on the option, the visitor reaches the page of exchange games. Here the visitor may choose the game to play and bet. However, the visitor may only play these games after getting a membership of BetFair. It is easy to get the membership of BetFair.

For all the BetFair exchange games, there are two versions. One is the standard version and the other is a turbo version. The members may play in the standard version, if they like the normal pace of game play.

Next, people who prefer a quick game play may go for the turbo version of the preferred BetFair exchange games. The turbo version has same rules, but is 25% faster than the normal game play.

Unique Exchange Games:

All the exchange games on BetFair are unique to each other. There are mainly three card games, which are very popular. The details about these exchange games are as follows:

1. Exchange Baccarat: In this game, the player and the banker compete with each other to reach a hand closer to 9. This is Asia’s favourite card game. The dealer may bet at any level of the game either on the player, banker or on a tie. Dealers may play this game after every three minutes and it is available for 24 hours.
2. Exchange Blackjack: With this game BetFair offers the world’s most popular casino game with a unique lay and back system. The dealer has to play against four automated players to get to a value of 21 or near to 21. Rather than the dealer deciding whether to hit or stand in the game, the automated players play this game perfectly game by using the BetFair Games Perfect Strategy. There are around seven rounds of betting. 
3. Exchange Hi Lo: This is the most popular and thrilling card game of BetFair exchange games. In this game, the dealer needs to decide whether the next card is higher or lower in value. BetFair has a unique version of this game, where the player may bet on how many higher value or lower value cards the computer may produce. In this game, the Ace has the highest value. 

Thus, these are some types of exchange games on BetFair. Remember that in these exchange games, the prices keep on changing after a particular interval of time. The changing of prices depends on the chance of winning.

Technorati Tags: sports bets, sports betting, sports wagering, winning sports bets